Hilton Honors American Express Surpass Card

Pros

• 15k for a FNC on the Surpass and one free FNC per year with an Aspire. So you can get two, but it sounds like OP generates a lot of spend.
• For your grocery spend the Hilton Surpass might be solid since it gets 6x at supermarkets, plus Hilton points are pretty easy to use
• If you like those properties, the Hilton Surpass is a great one and done card without the need to get further into the AMEX system. It has a good SUB and earns well on groceries, which should fit your situation.
• The other route if you want to just maximze high end hotels is getting an hilton surpass, putting that daycare spend on there, and then making sure you get another 6k of spend to get the 2 free night certificates.
• By the time you are ready to apply for more travel cards, you could pickup the Surpass for another SUB and some solid perks.

Cons

• I have the Amex gold, chase sapphire preferred, Hilton honors and Hilton surpass.
• I got the hilton surpass and keeping my csp for access to the transfer partners.
• Then get upgrade offers back up to the Surpass or Aspire.
• Amex Hilton Surpass can be decent on spend IF one values the free night certificate from $15k spend highly enough. Let's say one values it at $300 and peg Hilton points at .5cpp, since they can be bought for such when on sale. $300/$15k...
• I just recently opened a Hilton Surpass Amex at the recommendation of a coworker since I stay almost exclusively in Hilton when I travel, though honestly may have jumped the gun and could have picked a better travel card.